Liverpool appear to have one hand on the Premier League trophy, thanks to an exceptional run of form under new boss Arne Slot. Having lost just once all season and collecting 33 points from a possible 39 since that defeat, the Reds head to the capital on Sunday brimming with confidence. West Ham have steadied their ship with four games unbeaten, but they’ll need a near-perfect display to contain a side that has scored two or more goals in 12 of their last 13 league fixtures.
The Hammers, however, will note Liverpool’s defensive issues on the road, with ten goals conceded in their last four away league matches. That should encourage the London Stadium faithful, especially since West Ham have notched goals in 13 of their last 16 home league appearances. Nonetheless, coping with Liverpool’s relentless attack remains the true test.
1) Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.60
With West Ham growing in confidence and Liverpool’s attack firing on all cylinders, “Over 2.5 Goals” at 1.60 offers a logical choice. It implies a 62.5% chance of three or more goals, which feels accurate given both teams’ scoring trends and the Reds’ shaky away defence.
2) Liverpool -1 Asian Handicap @ 2.05
Liverpool’s superior quality often sees them pull away in matches, making a -1 Asian Handicap bet at 2.05 particularly appealing. This implies a roughly 49% chance of Liverpool winning by at least two goals. Given their scoring rate and West Ham’s inconsistent back line, there’s clear value in this market.
3) Mohamed Salah First Goalscorer @ 4.00
Salah is in superb form, boasting eight goals in his last six league matches. Backing him at 4.00 to open the scoring suggests a 25% implied probability. Considering he frequently leads Liverpool’s offensive forays and racks up multiple shots on target each game, those odds are good value from a probability standpoint.
