Southampton enter Wednesday’s EFL Cup quarter-final against Liverpool still reeling from their 5-0 defeat to Tottenham on Sunday. With Russell Martin’s departure announced, the Saints must quickly steady the ship if they are to avoid another mauling. Yet, recent evidence suggests that while Southampton have succumbed to some heavy losses this season, they rarely see such drubbings come in quick succession.
Indeed, between their recent five-goal defeats to Chelsea and Spurs, the Saints managed to keep Aston Villa honest in a narrow 1-0 reverse. Meanwhile, Liverpool’s form has been strong but they have not exactly been running riot. Seven of the Reds’ last 11 victories across all competitions have been by a single-goal margin and four of their last five wins have featured under 3.5 goals.
Considering Liverpool’s busy December schedule, Jürgen Klopp is likely to rotate his starting XI to maintain freshness. While the Reds remain favourites, Southampton’s ability to frustrate suggests a close encounter with few goals.
Predictions:
- Liverpool to Win & Under 3.5 Goals at 2.10 (21/10)
Liverpool’s recent successes have often been tight, low-scoring affairs. Backing the Reds to edge it without an avalanche of goals seems sensible and the odds represent fair value. Given the probabilities, if Liverpool were to win around 50% of the time, and under 3.5 goals is highly likely, a price around 2.10 is more than reasonable. - Correct Score: Liverpool 2-1 at 9.00 (8/1)
With Southampton likely to put up more resistance than they did against Spurs, a 2-1 away win looks appealing. Liverpool’s tendency to concede the odd goal but still prevail could make this a smart pick. - Mohamed Salah to Score Anytime at 1.85 (17/20)
Salah remains Liverpool’s go-to attacking threat. With penalties, set-pieces, and open play chances falling his way, he’s a reliable choice to get on the scoresheet.
