David Moyes’ return to Goodison Park ended in frustration for Everton as they suffered another 1-0 defeat, this time to Aston Villa. With the Toffees still winless in six Premier League outings, the outlook remains grim for Sunday’s clash against Tottenham Hotspur.
Everton’s matches have become the definition of low-scoring, with under 2.5 goals landing in each of their last seven games—just eight goals have been scored in total during this run. This is largely down to a struggling attack (the second-worst in the league) and a defence that, despite recent defeats, has conceded fewer goals than most in the division. Expect another cagey affair here, especially as Spurs have their own scoring issues of late.
Ange Postecoglou’s Tottenham side might be the second-highest scorers in the league overall, but that stat is boosted by their early-season form. Across their last six competitive matches, Spurs have managed a mere five goals in regular time. They’ve also gone five games without a Premier League win, leaving Postecoglou under increasing pressure to turn things around.
Prediction 1: Under 2.5 Goals @ 10/11
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Everton’s seven straight low-scoring matches and Tottenham’s recent lack of firepower point strongly toward another unders result. At odds of 10/11 (approximately 52% implied probability), this offers good value given the Toffees’ propensity for 1-0 outcomes.
Prediction 2: Tottenham to Win @ 6/5
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Despite their struggles, Tottenham have more attacking quality than Everton. While it won’t be easy at Goodison Park, a narrow away win is within reach, especially considering the Toffees’ two consecutive 1-0 defeats.
Prediction 3: Correct Score 1-0 Tottenham @ 7/1
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Everton’s inability to score in five of their last seven games—plus two back-to-back 1-0 losses—makes this a tempting punt. Spurs’ tight encounters of late also support a low-scoring result, with a single goal potentially deciding the match.
Postecoglou will view this fixture as a prime opportunity to snap Tottenham’s winless streak, and Everton’s dismal home form might prove the perfect setting. Expect a cautious approach from both teams, likely culminating in another narrow victory and further frustration for Moyes.
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