Borussia Dortmund have only suffered two defeats in their last 23 home league matches. A significant number of Dortmund’s recent home games in the Bundesliga, 8 out of the last 21, have seen over three goals scored. Mainz, on the other hand, have managed to score more than a single goal in just three of their 15 league games this season. Dortmund will be keen to avoid repeating past errors Dortmund’s upcoming match against Mainz might stir up some unpleasant memories, as it was their inability to defeat Mainz on the last day of the previous season that cost them the Bundesliga title.
On that occasion, Mainz, with little at stake, managed to net two early goals. The resulting 2-2 draw meant Dortmund couldn’t stop Bayern Munich from keeping their title, adding a bit of history to this fixture. Dortmund is determined not to repeat such a mistake.
While Dortmund’s chances of contending for the title this season seem slim, trailing Bayer Leverkusen by ten points, it’s worth noting that their recent home losses were against top teams like Bayern and RB Leipzig, unlike Mainz.
Mainz’s struggle for goals Dortmund’s home games have been high-scoring affairs, with fewer than three goals in only three of the last 21 matches. It wouldn’t be surprising if Dortmund were the sole contributors to the scoreboard in this match.
Mainz, who are currently just above the relegation zone, have won a mere one out of their 15 league matches this season, scoring only 12 goals in total.
Given their lacklustre offensive record, it’s questionable if they’ll be able to breach Dortmund’s defence, and a comfortable 3-0 victory for Dortmund heading into the winter break wouldn’t come as a shock.