The Manchester derby promises drama this weekend, with both teams in unsteady form. City’s defense looks fragile, while United’s attack is starting to click under new boss Ruben Amorim. Let’s dive into three top betting tips for this clash, with odds and reasoning to back them up.
1. Manchester United to Score Over 1.5 Goals – 2/1
City’s defensive woes have been glaring, conceding two or more goals in nine of their last 10 matches. With Bruno Fernandes and Marcus Rashford operating centrally behind the in-form Rasmus Hojlund, United’s attack looks primed to capitalize. Amorim’s midfield-heavy 3-4-3 system gives the Red Devils control, and their recent goal-scoring form (two or more in four of their last five) makes this a value bet.
2. Rasmus Hojlund Anytime Scorer – 15/8
Hojlund is thriving in United’s revamped system, netting five goals in his last four appearances. His recent midweek brace against Viktoria Plzen showcased his ability to finish in tight spaces. Against a leaky City backline, Hojlund is well-placed to add to his tally. At 15/8, the odds reflect his current form but still offer great value for an anytime scorer.
3. Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals – 4/5
This is a bet that screams probability. City, despite their struggles, are rarely held scoreless, while United’s vulnerabilities at the back remain. With City desperate to bounce back and United’s attack firing, a high-scoring affair is on the cards. The odds at 4/5 may not seem huge, but the likelihood of this outcome makes it a sensible pick.
Why the United Over 1.5 Goals Bet Offers Value
At 2/1, United scoring at least twice is a standout wager. City’s defensive frailty, compounded by injuries, makes it a plausible outcome. With a 33% implied probability, the bet seems undervalued considering City’s current form. United’s improved attacking metrics and Hojlund’s sharpness give them a solid chance to exploit City’s issues.