England look to bounce back from their disappointing 3-1 defeat to Senegal in June when they welcome minnows Andorra to Wembley on Saturday evening.
Thomas Tuchel’s side remain heavy favourites, but recent history suggests this may not be the walkover some expect. Andorra, ranked 174th in the world, have lost 11 of their last 13 internationals without scoring, but they’ve also kept most of those defeats respectable.
Only one of England’s last 27 matches has produced more than 4.5 goals, while Andorra have conceded more than four just once in their last 13 games.
Prediction 1: Under 4.5 Goals @ 4/6 (1.67) – Bet365
England will dominate, but Tuchel’s men rarely put up cricket scores against weaker nations. The stats show a strong case for under 4.5, making it the best starting point.
Prediction 2: England to Win to Nil @ 2/7 (1.29) – Bet365
Andorra have failed to score in 11 of their last 13 games and have very little attacking threat. England have been solid at Wembley and should keep a clean sheet with ease.
Prediction 3: Correct Score – England 3-0 @ 11/2 (6.50) – Bet365
The Three Lions have beaten Latvia and Greece by this scoreline in the last year, while Andorra have lost their last two away fixtures 3-0. It looks the most realistic outcome at Wembley.
💡 Value Bet: Under 4.5 at 4/6 represents good value. If we assume the probability of fewer than five goals is around 70%, the fair odds would be closer to 4/9 (1.44), so punters are getting a better price than expected.
Correct Score Prediction: England 3-0.
Responsible Gambling: 18+ only. Odds correct at time of writing. Please gamble responsibly and never wager more than you can afford to lose. Support available at BeGambleAware.org.
