Liverpool’s defence of their Premier League crown continues at Turf Moor on Sunday, where Burnley’s home form could provide a genuine stumbling block for the champions.
Turf Moor no easy ground
Scott Parker’s side are unbeaten at Turf Moor in league football since May 2024 and have made life difficult for almost every visitor. The Clarets have lost only one of their last six top-flight home games by more than a single goal, underlining their ability to frustrate.
Arne Slot’s Liverpool, meanwhile, have looked imperious at Anfield but far less convincing on the road. They have lost three of their last five away league games and were made to sweat against 10-man Newcastle earlier this season. That inconsistency suggests the 1/3 odds on an away win might not tell the full story.
Predictions
🔹 Burnley Double Chance – Win or Draw (2/1)
Given Burnley’s rugged home record and Liverpool’s patchy away form, backing the Clarets to avoid defeat looks a lively outsider bet.
🔹 Both Teams to Score – Yes (Evens)
Burnley tend to find the net at home while Liverpool’s firepower almost guarantees goals. A score draw or narrow away win seems most likely.
🔹 Dominik Szoboszlai to score from outside the box (10/1)
The Hungarian has already shown his set-piece ability and long-range threat. With Burnley likely to sit deep, shooting from distance could be Liverpool’s route through.
Value angle
The standout value may be in siding with Burnley to avoid defeat. Liverpool’s quality makes them favourites, but Turf Moor has historically been a tricky away day for top-six clubs, and Parker’s pragmatic set-up can drag the game into a grind.
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